海岸块体护面斜坡堤越浪的神经网络预测模型

    Neural Network Prediction Model for Wave Overtopping at Sloping Breakwaters of Block Revetment

    • 摘要: 基于欧洲CLASH(Coastal Lagoons and Seascape Hydrodynamics)项目数据库中的块体护面斜坡堤越浪数据,探究了模型输入参数维度对神经网络模型预测精度的影响。对于选取的3种具有不同复杂程度结构类型的斜坡堤:简单双坡斜坡堤、带有光滑平台的双坡斜坡堤和带有胸墙的复杂双坡斜坡堤,构建了3个神经网络(Artificial Neural Network, ANN)越浪模型(ANN1、ANN2、ANN3),并对其预测精度进行了比较分析。基于这些模型,采用随机森林模型对输入参数(设计波浪因素、防波堤形状位置及护面特征参数)的重要性进行了排序。结果表明,粗糙系数γf是3个模型共有的主要影响参数;相对堤顶超高对模型ANN1的影响较为显著,相对堤脚宽度则对模型ANN2的结果影响明显。比较粗糙系数γf对不同结构类型模型预测值的贡献度发现,不同结构类型对γf的敏感性存在差异,单一粗糙系数值不足以合理反映护面块体的几何形状、块体层数及其他结构特征变化对越浪的影响。

       

      Abstract: The influences of input parameter dimension on prediction accuracy of the neural network model are investigated based on the data of wave overtopping at sloping breakwaters of block revetment from the European CLASH Project Database. For the selected three types of breakwaters with varying structural complexity, which are simple double-slope breakwaters, double-slope breakwaters with smooth berm and complex double-slope breakwaters with crown wall, three neural network(ANN) wave overtopping models (ANN1, ANN2, ANN3) are established and their prediction accuracies are compared and analyzed. For these models, the random forest method is used to rank the importance of the input parameters such as design wave factors, breakwater geometry and position and revetment characteristics. The results indicate that the roughness coefficient γf is a primary influencing parameter shared by the three models ANN1, ANN2 and ANN3. The relative crest freeboard significantly affects model ANN1, while the relative berm width has a notable impact on model ANN2. By comparing the contribution of roughness coefficient γf to predicted values of different structural types, it is found that different structural types exhibit various sensitivities to γf. A single roughness coefficient value is not enough to reflect reasonably the influences of the changes in geometric shape of revetment blocks, number of block layers and other structural characteristics on the wave overtopping.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回