海岸块体护面斜坡堤越浪的神经网络预测模型

    A Neural Network Model for Predicting Wave Overtopping of Sloping Coastal Block Revetments

    • 摘要: 基于欧洲CLASH项目数据库中的块体护面斜坡堤越浪数据,探究了模型输入参数维度对神经网络模型预测精度的影响。对于选取的三种具有不同复杂程度结构类型的斜坡堤:简单双坡斜坡堤、带有光滑平台的双坡斜坡堤和带有胸墙的复杂双坡斜坡堤,构建了3个神经网络(ANN)越浪模型(ANN1、ANN2、ANN3),并对其预测精度进行了比较分析。基于这些模型,采用随机森林模型对输入参数(设计波浪因素、防波堤形状位置及护面特征参数)的重要性进行了排序。结果表明,粗糙系数γf是3个模型共有的主要影响参数;相对堤顶超高对模型ANN1的影响较为显著,相对堤脚宽度则对模型ANN2的结果影响明显。比较粗糙系数γf对不同结构类型模型预测值的贡献度发现,不同结构类型对γf的敏感性存在差异,单一粗糙系数值不足以合理反映护面块体的几何形状、块体层数及其他结构特征变化对越浪的影响。

       

      Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the dimensionality of model input parameters on the prediction accuracy of neural network models using overtopping data of rubble mound breakwaters from the European CLASH project database. For three types of breakwaters with varying structural complexity—simple double-slope breakwaters, double-slope breakwaters with a smooth berm, and complex double-slope breakwaters with a crown wall—three neural network overtopping models (ANN1, ANN2, ANN3) were developed, and their prediction accuracies were compared and analyzed. Based on these models, the random forest method was employed to rank the importance of input parameters (design wave factors, breakwater geometry and position, and armor layer characteristics) on the prediction results. The results indicate that the roughness coefficient γf is a primary influencing parameter shared by models ANN1, ANN2, and ANN3. The relative crest freeboard significantly affects model ANN1, while the relative berm width has a notable impact on the results of model ANN2. By comparing the contribution of the roughness coefficient γf to the predicted values of different structural types, it was found that different structural types exhibit varying sensitivities to γf. A single roughness coefficient value is insufficient to reasonably reflect the influence of changes in the geometric shape of armor blocks, the number of block layers, and other structural characteristics on overtopping.

       

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